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By Gaurav Agnihotri
Posted on Wed, 02 December 2015
As the world leaders come together in Paris to tackle the hot issue of climate change, there is one market that not only remains crucial for growth of renewable energy sources; but also remains the most talked about market in the global investment circles: the energy storage market.
Energy storage is steadily turning out to be one of the hottest markets in the energy sector. We are witnessing several exciting new developments in this field related to utilities, transportation and the military sector. The U.S. market continues to be the largest energy storage market. As the latest report from IHS re-affirmed that the U.S., along with Japan and South Korea, will prove to be the driving forces behind the developing energy storage sector
Who are the leading investors in energy storage?
According to the IHS report, the U.S., South Korea and Japan would be easily exceeding 100 MW of annual installations between 2015 and 2016. The report suggests that these three countries might contribute almost 59 percent of the total global energy storage installations in 2016.
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The U.S. could install around 650 MW followed by 510 MW of energy storage in Japan and around 280 MW by South Korea. “Demand for energy storage in South Korea is driven predominantly by KEPCO’s (state owned utility) frequency regulation program, which will procure 500 MW of batteries for frequency regulation over the next 4 years,” said Sam Wilkinson of IHS. The IHS report states that the cost of Lithium Ion Batteries have fallen by as much as 53 percent between 2012 and 2015.
However, energy storage costs will fall even further as Tesla’s upcoming Gigafactory is expected to reduce the production costs of Lithium Ion batteries by an additional 30 percent.
In fact, Teslas Elon Musk claims that with close to 1.9 million sq. feet of space, the upcoming Gigafactory would “blow everyone’s mind”.
It is interesting to note that there is a significant amount of Japanese investment in Tesla’s Gigafactory. Panasonic, the biggest global supplier of Lithium Ion batteries, has invested close to $2 billion in the Gigafactory. Even South Korea is eying the U.S. market as LG Chem (a fierce competitor of Panasonic) has teamed up with Tesla, supplying batteries for its Roadster model.
How will energy storage affect renewable’s share of the total energy mix?
The performance of the energy storage market has a direct impact on the renewable’s share of the total energy mix. Most renewable energy sources suffer from intermittency issues and a proper energy storage system can solve the problem of intermittent power generation.
The current market turmoil has created a once in a generation opportunity for savvy energy investors.Whilst the mainstream media prints scare stories of oil prices falling through the floor smart investors are setting up their next winning oil plays.
The IHS report states that the cost of 10MW battery storage systems would reduce to around $5 million by 2019 from $11 million in 2013. “For a typical 30-minute duration utility-scale li-ion system, more than 60 percent of the total reduction in system costs between 2013 and 2019 will come from the balance-of-plant equipment, rather than from batteries alone,” said the report. With falling energy storage costs, renewable energy generation could become much more attractive and cost effective soon.
Will the climate conference in Paris lay a foundation for a stronger energy storage market?
One of the important goals of the Paris climate change summit is to bring down the cost of renewable energy and to make this happen, around 28 global business leaders like Bill Gates, Mark Zuckerberg, Jack Ma and political leaders like Barack Obama, Francis Hollande and others came together to launch a joint initiative that would help promote the global use of renewable energy sources through the launch of a public – private project that would be backed by the governments and through a ‘’Breakthrough Energy Coalition’’.
In fact, the world’s leading energy stakeholders like U.S., China, Saudi Arabia, India, Australia, France, Canada and Norway are likely to pledge to almost double their investments in clean energy sources in the next five years. “We’ll work to mobilize support to help the most vulnerable countries expand clean energy and adapt to the effects of climate change we can no longer avoid,” said President Barack Obama on his official Facebook page.
For now, it is unclear how significant and how quickly the investments will translate into concrete advancements and innovations, but one thing is clear: the cost of energy storage will steadily decline. That means energy storage could quickly turn into a white hot investment opportunity.
By Gaurav Agnihotri of Oilprice.com
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